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THE FLASH
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WE CALLED 5 CATALYST STOCKS ON MONDAY. HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED.
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WATCHLIST UPDATE • APR 1, 2026 • PRICES AS OF 11:00 AM ET
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Good afternoon everybody.
Markets are ripping today. The Nazzy (Nasdaq) is up 1.3% as hopes grow that the war with Iran could be nearing an end... Trump said he expects U.S. forces to leave in "two or three weeks," oil is pulling back below $100, the VIX has dropped from 31 on Monday to about 24 right now, and gold just tagged $4,785.
But we're not here to talk about the macro today. We're here because Monday morning we dropped our catalyst watchlist... and 48 hours later, the results speak for themselves.
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| TICKER |
MON CALL |
NOW |
MOVE |
| $AEHR |
$32.90 |
$38.77 |
+17.8% |
| $RGTI |
$13.37 |
$14.16 |
+5.9% |
| $APLD |
$24.01 |
$25.26 |
+5.2% |
| $CELH |
$34.59 |
$35.43 |
+2.4% |
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4 for 4 green in 48 hours. $AEHR is the standout... up 17.8% since we flagged it Monday morning at $32.90. The stock got an extra jolt yesterday after announcing a new silicon photonics customer for AI data center transceivers, and it hasn't slowed down today. $RGTI up 5.9% on quantum launch anticipation, $APLD up 5.2% ahead of next week's earnings.
If you missed Monday's full breakdown with charts and historical data, read it here.
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$AEHR • THE BIG ONE |
REPORTS APR 7 AMC |
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AEHR TEST SYSTEMS — $38.77 (+17.8% SINCE MONDAY)
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This is what a catalyst run-up trade looks like.
We flagged $AEHR at $32.90 Monday morning as a catalyst play heading into earnings, and it has ripped nearly 18% in two sessions. Yesterday the stock spiked after Aehr announced a new silicon photonics customer for AI data center transceivers, with shipments expected in their fiscal Q4. That news stacked on top of the earnings anticipation and sent the stock flying.
AEHR confirmed on Sunday that it will report fiscal Q3 earnings next Tuesday, April 7 after the close, with a conference call at 5:00 PM ET. After a 17.8% pre-earnings run-up, expectations heading into that print are now significantly higher than they were Monday morning.
This stock averages ±16.5% on earnings day. The last four quarters went +15.9%, −17.4%, −12.4%, −6.1%. With the stock already up 17.8% into the print, the question now is whether the AI bookings story and Sonoma platform momentum can justify the run, or whether this is a "buy the rumor, sell the news" setup.
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THE SETUP: $AEHR has already moved nearly as much as its average earnings-day move before the print even drops. If the numbers deliver, this could keep running. If they disappoint after an 18% run-up, the giveback could be violent. The catalyst window is still open, but the risk/reward has shifted since Monday.
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$APLD • UPDATE |
REPORTS APR 8 AMC |
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APPLIED DIGITAL — $25.26 (+5.2% SINCE MONDAY)
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Already moving. $APLD is up 5.2% since our Monday call and reports next Wednesday, April 8 after the close, with a full week of positioning still ahead.
This is the name that averages ±22.7% on earnings day. Revenue hit $127M last quarter (+98% YoY) with four straight guidance raises. If the AEHR pre-earnings playbook repeats here, the run-up window is still early.
But let's be real... this stock also dropped 35.9% in a single session last April when guidance spooked the market. The ±22.7% average move means it cuts both ways, hard.
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REPORTS: APR 8 AMC • AVG MOVE: ±22.7% • LAST 4: +8.1%, +16.0%, +31.0%, −35.9%
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$RGTI • UPDATE |
Q1 DEADLINE PASSED |
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RIGETTI COMPUTING — $14.16 (+5.9% SINCE MONDAY)
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Up 5.9% since our Monday call. Q1 officially ended yesterday, and Rigetti's self-imposed deadline for the 108-qubit Cepheus-1-108Q general availability was "around the end of Q1 2026." As of this writing, no press release or SEC filing confirming the launch.
That doesn't necessarily mean it didn't happen... companies sometimes announce milestones with a short lag. Still on watch. Any announcement could move this name quickly given the momentum that's already building.
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